Analysis
Reading past results against the racial make-up of each seat, and what they say about the next election.
The Tabung Haji report: four years in a locked drawer
Written in 2022, declassified this week. The royal commission found a fund whose liabilities had outgrown its assets while the official accounts showed billions in profit, and politics behind most of the decisions that got it there. I read all 252 pages so you don't have to.
Negeri Sembilan 2026 forecast: BN+PN win in every simulation
We ran 10,000 data-driven simulations of the result. The BN+PN ticket projects to 23 to 30 seats, PH to 6 to 13, Bersatu to zero. Here is every seat's probability.
Negeri Sembilan 2026: it was never town versus kampung
The 2023 election was the cleanest two-way fight in the country, BN and PH fused on one ballot line against PN on the other. Race predicted the outcome almost perfectly. Urbanness told you close to nothing.
The resume election: what if Johor's 56 seats went to the best CV?
We scored all 172 candidates on their CVs, weighting a real career as heavily as a political one. Here is who would win each seat, and the map it would draw.
GE15 across the peninsula: the Malay vote split, and nobody won
All 165 peninsula seats by race and by result. The racial line is sharper than Johor's, and three-cornered fights left half the winners short of a majority.
Johor 2026: the vote split the opposition doesn't want to talk about
A look at all 56 seats: where the votes sit by race, and why more opposition choice may mean fewer opposition wins.